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レース情報

日付 2025-12-05 会場 若松 (20)
レース 10R 発走 19:39
データ作成 2025-12-24 13:38:24

結果

3連単
1-3-6
Sim #14 (2.41% / 62.1%)
払戻 ¥3,230
人気 14 状態 final
更新 2025-12-24 08:21:34

シナリオ / 総評

Breaker (攻め手) -
Confidence (自信度) -
判定 / 決まり手 - / -
AI総評:
-

リスク指標 / ゾーン

SD閾値 - Entropy 0.8121
Top1 6.72% Top5合計 28.37%
勝ち方分布 逃げ 69.29% / 差し 8.13% / まくり 10.92% / まくり差し 11.66%
ゾーン定義開く
ゾーンEVSD(荒れ度)アクション
鉄板 (Ironclad)高低厚張り (Bet Big)
穴狙い (Long Shot)高高少額分散 (Spread)
危険 (Trap)低高見 (Pass)
養分 (Sucker)低低見 (Pass)

予想買い目

平均オッズ: -

買い目データがありません。
モンテカルロシミュレーション開く
結果
1-3-6
(¥3,230)
試行回数 100000 イン逃げ率 72.8%
攻め艇 5 シミュ結果 -
勝ち方分布 逃げ: 69.29% / 差し: 8.13% / まくり: 10.92% / まくり差し: 11.66%

艇別入着率 (シミュレーション)

艇 1着率 2連帯率
(2着率)		 3連帯率
(3着率)
1 68.7% 80.5% (11.8%) 85% (4.5%)
2 6.4% 26.6% (20.2%) 40% (13.4%)
3 4.6% 24.6% (19.9%) 49% (24.4%)
4 7.3% 26.1% (18.8%) 48.4% (22.3%)
5 9% 34.8% (25.7%) 56.1% (21.4%)
6 3.9% 7.5% (3.5%) 21.5% (14.1%)

データ推奨フォーメーション

1
12345
123456
条件: 1着15%↑(1号艇30%↑), 2連帯30%↑または2着10%↑(or上位2/1号艇は50%↑・2着15%↑), 3連帯50%↑または3着10%↑
# 出現率(%) オッズ / EV
1
1-5-3
 6.72% (6.7%)
20.3
EV 1.364
2
1-5-4
 6.3% (13.0%)
18
EV 1.134
3
1-3-5
 5.32% (18.3%)
14.8
EV 0.787
4
1-2-3
 5.1% (23.4%)
22.4
EV 1.142
5
1-3-4
 4.93% (28.4%)
16.8
EV 0.828
6
1-4-5
 4.86% (33.2%)
14.6
EV 0.71
7
1-4-3
 4.84% (38.1%)
22.5
EV 1.089
8
1-2-5
 4.83% (42.9%)
24.1
EV 1.164
9
1-2-4
 4.25% (47.2%)
18.9
EV 0.803
10
1-5-2
 3.64% (50.8%)
26.1
EV 0.95
11
1-5-6
 3.2% (54.0%)
22.5
EV 0.72
12
1-3-2
 3.11% (57.1%)
23.3
EV 0.725
13
1-4-2
 2.55% (59.7%)
30.5
EV 0.778
14
🎯
1-3-6
 2.41% (62.1%)
38.8
EV 0.935
15
1-2-6
 2.07% (64.1%)
48.5
EV 1.004
16
1-4-6
 1.99% (66.1%)
28.7
EV 0.571
17
5-1-4
 1.28% (67.4%)
59.3
EV 0.759
18
5-1-3
 1.26% (68.7%)
75.8
EV 0.955
19
2-1-5
 0.82% (69.5%)
122.9
EV 1.008
20
4-5-3
 0.81% (70.3%)
153.5
EV 1.243
21
4-1-5
 0.81% (71.1%)
46.6
EV 0.377
22
4-1-3
 0.77% (71.9%)
82.5
EV 0.635
23
1-6-5
 0.77% (72.6%)
63.1
EV 0.486
24
2-1-3
 0.75% (73.4%)
95.4
EV 0.716
25
1-6-3
 0.73% (74.1%)
84.1
EV 0.614
26
2-1-4
 0.72% (74.8%)
105.8
EV 0.762
27
5-4-3
 0.72% (75.6%)
272.4
EV 1.961
28
1-6-4
 0.69% (76.3%)
53.5
EV 0.369
29
5-1-2
 0.68% (76.9%)
71.4
EV 0.486
30
5-1-6
 0.62% (77.6%)
71.8
EV 0.445
31
5-3-4
 0.54% (78.1%)
354.3
EV 1.913
32
3-1-5
 0.54% (78.6%)
54.5
EV 0.294
33
5-4-1
 0.54% (79.2%)
87.5
EV 0.473
34
4-3-5
 0.51% (79.7%)
227.7
EV 1.161
35
4-5-6
 0.5% (80.2%)
68.3
EV 0.342
36
4-5-1
 0.5% (80.7%)
62.9
EV 0.315
37
3-1-4
 0.5% (81.2%)
60.1
EV 0.301
38
5-2-3
 0.48% (81.7%)
302.8
EV 1.453
39
3-5-4
 0.48% (82.1%)
151.8
EV 0.729
40
2-5-4
 0.47% (82.6%)
413.8
EV 1.945
41
5-2-4
 0.44% (83.1%)
395.7
EV 1.741
42
2-5-3
 0.43% (83.5%)
282.3
EV 1.214
43
4-1-2
 0.42% (83.9%)
80.3
EV 0.337
44
3-4-5
 0.41% (84.3%)
148.9
EV 0.61
45
1-6-2
 0.41% (84.7%)
81.5
EV 0.334
46
4-5-2
 0.4% (85.1%)
174.8
EV 0.699
47
6-1-5
 0.39% (85.5%)
349.7
EV 1.364
48
4-1-6
 0.39% (85.9%)
80.1
EV 0.312
49
4-2-5
 0.39% (86.3%)
243.1
EV 0.948
50
2-4-5
 0.39% (86.7%)
413.8
EV 1.614
51
4-2-3
 0.39% (87.1%)
354.3
EV 1.382
52
5-2-1
 0.37% (87.4%)
173.2
EV 0.641
53
5-4-2
 0.37% (87.8%)
302.8
EV 1.12
54
6-1-4
 0.37% (88.2%)
248.6
EV 0.92
55
6-1-3
 0.36% (88.5%)
451.7
EV 1.626
56
2-1-6
 0.35% (88.9%)
203
EV 0.711
57
5-3-1
 0.35% (89.2%)
173.2
EV 0.606
58
2-3-5
 0.33% (89.6%)
226.8
EV 0.748
59
2-5-1
 0.32% (89.9%)
212.6
EV 0.68
60
4-3-1
 0.31% (90.2%)
127.2
EV 0.394
61
6-5-3
 0.3% (90.5%)
732.6
EV 2.198
62
2-3-4
 0.3% (90.8%)
256.9
EV 0.771
63
5-4-6
 0.3% (91.1%)
85.3
EV 0.256
64
6-5-4
 0.3% (91.4%)
459.4
EV 1.378
65
3-1-2
 0.3% (91.7%)
92.6
EV 0.278
66
2-4-3
 0.29% (92.0%)
271
EV 0.786
67
5-3-2
 0.29% (92.3%)
359
EV 1.041
68
3-5-1
 0.27% (92.6%)
112
EV 0.302
69
4-2-1
 0.26% (92.8%)
158.9
EV 0.413
70
3-1-6
 0.26% (93.1%)
109.7
EV 0.285
71
3-5-6
 0.26% (93.3%)
245.3
EV 0.638
72
5-3-6
 0.25% (93.6%)
390
EV 0.975
73
3-2-5
 0.25% (93.8%)
153.1
EV 0.383
74
2-5-6
 0.25% (94.1%)
463.3
EV 1.158
75
2-4-1
 0.24% (94.3%)
188.2
EV 0.452
76
5-2-6
 0.24% (94.6%)
294.6
EV 0.707
77
4-3-2
 0.24% (94.8%)
343.1
EV 0.823
78
6-5-1
 0.22% (95.0%)
444.3
EV 0.977
79
6-1-2
 0.21% (95.2%)
330.5
EV 0.694
80
2-3-1
 0.21% (95.4%)
158.5
EV 0.333
81
3-5-2
 0.2% (95.6%)
228.7
EV 0.457
82
4-3-6
 0.2% (95.8%)
288.3
EV 0.577
83
6-4-5
 0.2% (96.0%)
336.7
EV 0.673
84
3-4-6
 0.19% (96.2%)
173.7
EV 0.33
85
3-2-4
 0.19% (96.4%)
199.3
EV 0.379
86
3-4-1
 0.19% (96.6%)
124.9
EV 0.237
87
4-2-6
 0.17% (96.8%)
322.7
EV 0.549
88
6-5-2
 0.17% (97.0%)
1042
EV 1.771
89
6-3-5
 0.17% (97.1%)
695
EV 1.182
90
3-2-1
 0.16% (97.3%)
139
EV 0.222
91
6-3-4
 0.16% (97.4%)
630.3
EV 1.008
92
2-3-6
 0.16% (97.6%)
417
EV 0.667
93
6-4-3
 0.15% (97.8%)
834
EV 1.251
94
3-4-2
 0.15% (97.9%)
297.8
EV 0.447
95
6-2-4
 0.15% (98.1%)
732.6
EV 1.099
96
6-2-5
 0.15% (98.2%)
968.1
EV 1.452
97
6-2-3
 0.15% (98.4%)
732.6
EV 1.099
98
2-4-6
 0.15% (98.5%)
488.4
EV 0.733
99
6-4-1
 0.14% (98.6%)
258.1
EV 0.361
100
5-6-4
 0.11% (98.8%)
176
EV 0.194
101
3-2-6
 0.11% (98.9%)
288.3
EV 0.317
102
6-2-1
 0.11% (99.0%)
630.3
EV 0.693
選手情報開く
１ 松尾　　昂明 A2 / 福岡 / 52.0kg / -0.5
スタート 平均 0.16 / 展示 .14 (6.76) 事故 F0 / L0
勝率 5.86 (2連 38.14% / 3連 59.32%) 機力 M:19(0.00%) B:62(34.82%)
日R進入ST着
1日目 2 4 0.14 １
２ 幸野　　史明 B1 / 福岡 / 51.0kg / 0.0
スタート 平均 0.16 / 展示 .07 (6.79) 事故 F0 / L0
勝率 4.21 (2連 25.00% / 3連 36.25%) 機力 M:11(12.50%) B:28(23.48%)
日R進入ST着
1日目 1 4 0.22 ２
３ 野見山　拓己 B1 / 福岡 / 52.5kg / -0.5
スタート 平均 0.16 / 展示 .01 (6.84) 事故 F0 / L0
勝率 5.03 (2連 28.75% / 3連 48.75%) 機力 M:39(25.00%) B:41(30.30%)
日R進入ST着
1日目 3 4 0.09 ３
４ 松田　　竜馬 A2 / 福岡 / 54.6kg / 0.0
スタート 平均 0.15 / 展示 .13 (6.90) 事故 F0 / L0
勝率 5.20 (2連 31.30% / 3連 48.70%) 機力 M:22(50.00%) B:45(42.86%)
日R進入ST着
1日目 6 6 0.22 ５
５ 枝尾　　　賢 B2 / 福岡 / 52.1kg / -0.5
スタート 平均 0.17 / 展示 .08 (6.81) 事故 F0 / L0
勝率 5.31 (2連 33.73% / 3連 54.22%) 機力 M:8(37.50%) B:59(25.42%)
日R進入ST着
1日目 4 2 0.19 ２
６ 三苫　　晃幸 A2 / 福岡 / 54.0kg / -0.5
スタート 平均 0.17 / 展示 .01 (6.84) 事故 F0 / L0
勝率 5.17 (2連 29.89% / 3連 48.28%) 機力 M:30(0.00%) B:35(39.29%)
日R進入ST着
1日目 5 4 0.15 ５